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INVESTORS are not paying enough attention to the hidden risks of passive index investing, says Pendal’s Samir Mehta.
Passively investing in funds designed to track the performance of a benchmark has become a popular strategy in recent years due to low costs and the promise of reduced risk due to diversification.
But many investors fail to appreciate the very process of selecting securities for the index is an active investment process that carries with it a level of risk, says Mehta, who manages Pendal Asian Share Fund.
Tracking an index often means owning poorly performing stocks that an active manager can avoid, he says.
“Of course, I’m biased as an active manager of equities.
“But what investors should think about is this presumption that passive investment is really passive.”
Investors need to better understand the process for creating the underlying indexes that passive investing relies on,” Mehta says.
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Index providers make active decisions on which companies to include, the weighting each company receives and the timing of companies entering and leaving.
These decisions directly affect the buying and selling of stocks by passive investment funds.
“There is a group of people deciding which stock goes into which index, in what proportion — and there is a timing element to it as well.
“People may not think about this aspect of index construction.”
It is not a trivial concern, says Mehta.
Two high profile examples of the perils of passive index investing are electric vehicle pioneer Tesla and India’s controversial Adani group of companies.
Tesla was added to the S&P 500 index in December 2020 after a ten-fold rise in the company’s share price.
Many investors in index funds passively bought the shares at that high point and are now down on their investments.
At the Adani group of companies, a recent short-seller report made accusations that led to a dramatic fall in share prices across the Adani companies, leading the index providers to reduce the weights of all Adani stocks in the index.
“Passive owners will now be forced to sell those stocks. Buy high, sell low,” says Mehta.
Active managers can often avoid these kind of investing mistakes, says Mehta.
“Active managers contribute not only by identifying good businesses, but also by taking a view on what not to own.
“If we are in a world where future returns are going to be subpar, risk management becomes paramount.
“If you look at the list of top shareholders of the Adani group of companies in India, there is not a single domestic mutual fund that is in the top 25 holders.
“What does that tell you? That none of these smart, sophisticated investors wanted to own this company despite it being a large business with a very high profile.
“But when the index providers put it in the index, passive owners had to own it.”
And it’s not just the index creators making active decisions about passive portfolios — investors themselves can also distort the process.
“If you are taking a decision to make a passive investment in US stocks, you are making an active decision not to invest in Asian stocks,” he says.
“Even if you take a decision to passively invest across all markets, there are still active decisions embedded in that choice.
Samir manages Pendal Asian Share Fund, an actively managed portfolio of Asian shares excluding Japan and Australia. Samir is a senior fund manager at UK-based J O Hambro, which is part of Pendal Group.
Pendal Asian Share Fund aims to provide a return (before fees, costs and taxes) that exceeds the MSCI AC Asia ex Japan (Standard) Index (Net Dividends) in AUD over the medium-to-long term.
Pendal is a global investment management business focused on delivering superior investment returns for our clients through active management.
This information has been prepared by Pendal Fund Services Limited (PFSL) ABN 13 161 249 332, AFSL No 431426 and is current at February 22, 2023. PFSL is the responsible entity and issuer of units in the Pendal Asian Share Fund (Fund) ARSN: 087 593 468. A product disclosure statement (PDS) is available for the Fund and can be obtained by calling 1300 346 821 or visiting www.pendalgroup.com. The Target Market Determination (TMD) for the Fund is available at www.pendalgroup.com/ddo. You should obtain and consider the PDS and the TMD before deciding whether to acquire, continue to hold or dispose of units in the Fund. An investment in the Fund or any of the funds referred to in this web page is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment of withdrawal proceeds and loss of income and principal invested. This information is for general purposes only, should not be considered as a comprehensive statement on any matter and should not be relied upon as such. It has been prepared without taking into account any recipient’s personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this, recipients should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness having regard to their individual objectives, financial situation and needs. This information is not to be regarded as a securities recommendation. The information may contain material provided by third parties, is given in good faith and has been derived from sources believed to be accurate as at its issue date. While such material is published with necessary permission, and while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information is complete and correct, to the maximum extent permitted by law neither PFSL nor any company in the Pendal group accepts any responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of this information. Performance figures are calculated in accordance with the Financial Services Council (FSC) standards. Performance data (post-fee) assumes reinvestment of distributions and is calculated using exit prices, net of management costs. Performance data (pre-fee) is calculated by adding back management costs to the post-fee performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Any projections are predictive only and should not be relied upon when making an investment decision or recommendation. Whilst we have used every effort to ensure that the assumptions on which the projections are based are reasonable, the projections may be based on incorrect assumptions or may not take into account known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The actual results may differ materially from these projections. For more information, please call Customer Relations on 1300 346 821 8am to 6pm (Sydney time) or visit our website www.pendalgroup.com