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FAST PODCAST: Take the long view on global equities as Yen falls
What does the dramatic fall of the Japanese Yen mean for investors? Pendal’s NUDGEM RICHYAL, co-manager of Pendal Global Select Fund, explains in this fast podcast
You can also listen to this podcast on Apple or Spotify or read an edited transcript below
An edited transcript of this podcast
The depreciation of the Yen has been one of its fastest moves in 50 years, says Pendal’s Nudgem Richyal.
“The data on my Bloomberg terminal only goes back to 1971. At one point it was falling most every day.”
Many investors expect this to continue as money flows out of the Yen into US bonds for example.
What does that mean for global equities investors?
“At this stage we wouldn’t be keen to step in and say, well, actually this [Yen depreciation] has gone too far, we need to get involved on the other side,” says Nudgem, who co-manages Pendal Global Select Fund.
“From a portfolio perspective our views are much more medium-to-long-term and it wouldn’t make too much difference.
“We have a couple of Japanese exporters and we’re not suddenly going to sell them because we think ‘well, this yen move means that so much more can be priced in.
“Trends go on longer than most people expect. I’m not going to call a top, because it’s too dangerous to stand in front of a steam roller.”
Nudgem does advise investors to keee an eye on US 10-year bonds.
“The one macro variable that may put pause to this is if the 10-year [yield] in the US stops going up. It could be that inflation’s peaked. It could be the Fed has broken something. That may put a pause to this move.
“We take currency seriously in our beta view of the market and we think you cannot afford to be oblivious to it.
“Currency is one of the mechanisms that will help or hurt you. This is a great example right now.”
Pendal Global Select Fund
Something very different in global equities
About Nudgem Richyal
Nudgem Richyal co-manages Pendal Global Select Fund with Chris Lees. The pair have been working together in global equities investing for more than 20 years.
Nudgem has 22 years of industry experience, joining J O Hambro Capital Management (a wholly owned subsidiary of Pendal Group) with Chris in 2008. He was previously an investment director with the Global Equity Group of Baring Asset Management, where he worked closely with Chris since 2001.
About Pendal Global Select Fund
Pendal Global Select Fund is a global equities portfolio with a distinctive, yet proven approach.
Fund managers Chris Lees and Nudgem Richyal have worked closely together for more than 20 years.
They manage a portfolio of 30-60 stocks using quantitative analysis and fundamental research based on decades of experience.
The team draws on the experience of 40-plus investment professionals at JOHCM and Regnan.
This information has been prepared by Pendal Fund Services Limited (PFSL) ABN 13 161 249 332, AFSL No 431426 and is current as at April 27, 2022. PFSL is the responsible entity and issuer of units in the Pendal Global Select Fund (Fund) ARSN: 651 789 678. A product disclosure statement (PDS) is available for the Fund and can be obtained by calling 1300 346 821 or visiting www.pendalgroup.com. The Target Market Determination (TMD) for the Fund is available at www.pendalgroup.com/ddo. You should obtain and consider the PDS and the TMD before deciding whether to acquire, continue to hold or dispose of units in the Fund. An investment in the Fund or any of the funds referred to in this web page is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment of withdrawal proceeds and loss of income and principal invested. This information is for general purposes only, should not be considered as a comprehensive statement on any matter and should not be relied upon as such. It has been prepared without taking into account any recipient’s personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this, recipients should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness having regard to their individual objectives, financial situation and needs. This information is not to be regarded as a securities recommendation. The information may contain material provided by third parties, is given in good faith and has been derived from sources believed to be accurate as at its issue date. While such material is published with necessary permission, and while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information is complete and correct, to the maximum extent permitted by law neither PFSL nor any company in the Pendal group accepts any responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of this information. Performance figures are calculated in accordance with the Financial Services Council (FSC) standards. Performance data (post-fee) assumes reinvestment of distributions and is calculated using exit prices, net of management costs. Performance data (pre-fee) is calculated by adding back management costs to the post-fee performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Any projections are predictive only and should not be relied upon when making an investment decision or recommendation. Whilst we have used every effort to ensure that the assumptions on which the projections are based are reasonable, the projections may be based on incorrect assumptions or may not take into account known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The actual results may differ materially from these projections. For more information, please call Customer Relations on 1300 346 821 8:00am to 6:00pm (Sydney time) or visit our website www.pendalgroup.com
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